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11.
Thomas Kenkmann Alex Deutsch Klaus Thoma Matthias Ebert Michael H. Poelchau Elmar Buhl Eva-Regine Carl Andreas N. Danilewsky Georg Dresen Anja Dufresne Nathanaël Durr Lars Ehm Christian Grosse Max Gulde Nicole Güldemeister Christopher Hamann Lutz Hecht Stefan Hiermaier Tobias Hoerth Astrid Kowitz Falko Langenhorst Bernd Lexow Hanns-Peter Liermann Robert Luther Ulrich Mansfeld Dorothee Moser Manuel Raith Wolf Uwe Reimold Martin Sauer Frank Schäfer Ralf Thomas Schmitt Frank Sommer Jakob Wilk Rebecca Winkler Kai Wünnemann 《Meteoritics & planetary science》2018,53(8):1543-1568
This paper reviews major findings of the Multidisciplinary Experimental and Modeling Impact Crater Research Network (MEMIN). MEMIN is a consortium, funded from 2009 till 2017 by the German Research Foundation, and is aimed at investigating impact cratering processes by experimental and modeling approaches. The vision of this network has been to comprehensively quantify impact processes by conducting a strictly controlled experimental campaign at the laboratory scale, together with a multidisciplinary analytical approach. Central to MEMIN has been the use of powerful two-stage light-gas accelerators capable of producing impact craters in the decimeter size range in solid rocks that allowed detailed spatial analyses of petrophysical, structural, and geochemical changes in target rocks and ejecta. In addition, explosive setups, membrane-driven diamond anvil cells, as well as laser irradiation and split Hopkinson pressure bar technologies have been used to study the response of minerals and rocks to shock and dynamic loading as well as high-temperature conditions. We used Seeberger sandstone, Taunus quartzite, Carrara marble, and Weibern tuff as major target rock types. In concert with the experiments we conducted mesoscale numerical simulations of shock wave propagation in heterogeneous rocks resolving the complex response of grains and pores to compressive, shear, and tensile loading and macroscale modeling of crater formation and fracturing. Major results comprise (1) projectile–target interaction, (2) various aspects of shock metamorphism with special focus on low shock pressures and effects of target porosity and water saturation, (3) crater morphologies and cratering efficiencies in various nonporous and porous lithologies, (4) in situ target damage, (5) ejecta dynamics, and (6) geophysical survey of experimental craters. 相似文献
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In this receiver function study, we investigate the structure of the crust beneath six seismic broadband stations close to
the Sunda Arc formed by subduction of the Indo-Australian under the Sunda plate. We apply three different methods to analyse
receiver functions at single stations. A recently developed algorithm determines absolute shear-wave velocities from observed
frequency-dependent apparent incidence angles of P waves. Using waveform inversion of receiver functions and a modified Zhu
and Kanamori algorithm, properties of discontinuities such as depth, velocity contrast, and sharpness are determined. The
combination of the methods leads to robust results. The approach is validated by synthetic tests. Stations located on Malaysia
show high-shear-wave velocities (V
S) near the surface in the range of 3.4–3.6 km s − 1 attributed to crystalline rocks and 3.6–4.0 km s − 1 in the lower crust. Upper and lower crust are clearly separated, the Moho is found at normal depths of 30–34 km where it
forms a sharp discontinuity at station KUM or a gradient at stations IPM and KOM. For stations close to the subduction zone
(BSI, GSI and PSI) complexity within the crust is high. Near the surface low V
S of 2.6–2.9 km s − 1 indicate sediment layers. High V
S of 4.2 km s − 1 are found at depth greater than 6 and 2 km at BSI and PSI, respectively. There, the Moho is located at 37 and 40 km depth.
At station GSI, situated closest to the trench, the subducting slab is imaged as a north-east dipping structure separated
from the sediment layer by a 10 km wide gradient in V
S between 10 and 20 km depth. Within the subducting slab V
S ≈ 4.7 km s − 1. At station BSI, the subducting slab is found at depth between 90 and 110 km dipping 20° ± 8° in approximately N 60° E. A
velocity increase in similar depth is indicated at station PSI, however no evidence for a dipping layer is found. 相似文献
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The IVS Intensive sessions are single-baseline, 1-h VLBI sessions carried out everyday in order to determine Universal Time
(UT1). We investigate different possibilities to improve the results of such sessions. We do this investigation by extracting
2-h single-baseline sessions from the CONT08 data set. These are analysed like normal Intensives, and the results are compared
to the results of the analysis of the full CONT08 data set. We find that tropospheric asymmetry is the major error source
for the single-baseline sessions. It is possible to improve the accuracy of the estimated UT1 either by using accurate a priori
tropospheric gradients or by estimating gradients in the data analysis. 相似文献
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Tobias Lung Alessandro Dosio William Becker Carlo Lavalle Laurens M. Bouwer 《Climatic change》2013,120(1-2):211-227
Despite an increasing understanding of potential climate change impacts in Europe, the associated uncertainties remain a key challenge. In many impact studies, the assessment of uncertainties is underemphasised, or is not performed quantitatively. A key source of uncertainty is the variability of climate change projections across different regional climate models (RCMs) forced by different global circulation models (GCMs). This study builds upon an indicator-based NUTS-2 level assessment that quantified potential changes for three climate-related hazards: heat stress, river flood risk, and forest fire risk, based on five GCM/RCM combinations, and non-climatic factors. First, a sensitivity analysis is performed to determine the fractional contribution of each single input factor to the spatial variance of the hazard indicators, followed by an evaluation of uncertainties in terms of spread in hazard indicator values due to inter-model climate variability, with respect to (changes in) impacts for the period 2041–70. The results show that different GCM/RCM combinations lead to substantially varying impact indicators across all three hazards. Furthermore, a strong influence of inter-model variability on the spatial patterns of uncertainties is revealed. For instance, for river flood risk, uncertainties appear to be particularly high in the Mediterranean, whereas model agreement is higher for central Europe. The findings allow for a hazard-specific identification of areas with low vs. high model agreement (and thus confidence of projected impacts) within Europe, which is of key importance for decision makers when prioritising adaptation options. 相似文献
19.
Nathalie van Vliet Ole Mertz Andreas Heinimann Tobias Langanke Unai Pascual Birgit Schmook Cristina Adams Dietrich Schmidt-Vogt Peter Messerli Stephen Leisz Jean-Christophe Castella Lars Jørgensen Torben Birch-Thomsen Cornelia Hett Thilde Bech-Bruun Amy Ickowitz Kim Chi Vu Kono Yasuyuki Jefferson Fox Christine Padoch Alan D. Ziegler 《Global Environmental Change》2012,22(2):418-429
This meta-analysis of land-cover transformations of the past 10–15 years in tropical forest-agriculture frontiers world-wide shows that swidden agriculture decreases in landscapes with access to local, national and international markets that encourage cattle production and cash cropping, including biofuels. Conservation policies and practices also accelerate changes in swidden by restricting forest clearing and encouraging commercial agriculture. However, swidden remains important in many frontier areas where farmers have unequal or insecure access to investment and market opportunities, or where multi-functionality of land uses has been preserved as a strategy to adapt to current ecological, economic and political circumstances. In some areas swidden remains important simply because intensification is not a viable choice, for example when population densities and/or food market demands are low. The transformation of swidden landscapes into more intensive land uses has generally increased household incomes, but has also led to negative effects on the social and human capital of local communities to varying degrees. From an environmental perspective, the transition from swidden to other land uses often contributes to permanent deforestation, loss of biodiversity, increased weed pressure, declines in soil fertility, and accelerated soil erosion. Our prognosis is that, despite the global trend towards land use intensification, in many areas swidden will remain part of rural landscapes as the safety component of diversified systems, particularly in response to risks and uncertainties associated with more intensive land use systems. 相似文献
20.
Hilary McMillan Jim Freer Florian Pappenberger Tobias Krueger Martyn Clark 《水文研究》2010,24(10):1270-1284
In order to quantify total error affecting hydrological models and predictions, we must explicitly recognize errors in input data, model structure, model parameters and validation data. This paper tackles the last of these: errors in discharge measurements used to calibrate a rainfall‐runoff model, caused by stage–discharge rating‐curve uncertainty. This uncertainty may be due to several combined sources, including errors in stage and velocity measurements during individual gaugings, assumptions regarding a particular form of stage–discharge relationship, extrapolation of the stage–discharge relationship beyond the maximum gauging, and cross‐section change due to vegetation growth and/or bed movement. A methodology is presented to systematically assess and quantify the uncertainty in discharge measurements due to all of these sources. For a given stage measurement, a complete PDF of true discharge is estimated. Consequently, new model calibration techniques can be introduced to explicitly account for the discharge error distribution. The method is demonstrated for a gravel‐bed river in New Zealand, where all the above uncertainty sources can be identified, including significant uncertainty in cross‐section form due to scour and re‐deposition of sediment. Results show that rigorous consideration of uncertainty in flow data results in significant improvement of the model's ability to predict the observed flow. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献